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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 18:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$34K$48K
Holders383−9392
Trades3.1K+563.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−8.4 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI7.4%
+5.1 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.16
+49.62×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.90
+44.39×
×0.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
−$2.3K
$14.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−193.2 pp
95.5%
Underwater %95.7%
+95.6 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.8%
−4.3 pp
54.1%
Bot %58.0%
−5.0 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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