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Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?

data as of 2026-01-18 21:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.9K−$2.8K$6.7K
Holders162+10755
Trades646+46600
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.5%
−16.6 pp
79.1%
Avg ROI8.7%
+4.0 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.00
+13.31×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.75
+15.09×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−146.6 pp
52.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.0%
−26.3 pp
30.3%
Bot %5.5%
−25.8 pp
31.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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