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Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?

data as of 2026-01-21 21:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$698−$6.1K$6.8K
Holders96−21117
Trades874+51823
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−3.2 pp
48.2%
Avg ROI1.4%
−2.2 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.80
+4.89×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.13
+4.22×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$57
$59
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.38
0.62
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.7%
−91.2 pp
10.5%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.6 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.8%
−53.7 pp
67.5%
Bot %13.3%
−58.6 pp
71.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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