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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 09:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$9.3K$20K
Holders355+55300
Trades2.7K+2552.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−3.7 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI5.5%
+5.1 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×31.52
+30.81×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.28
+31.61×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.2K
−$5.0K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.11
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−143.5 pp
46.9%
Underwater %93.6%
+92.8 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.6%
+1.8 pp
40.9%
Bot %61.2%
+1.1 pp
60.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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