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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 22:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.8K−$19K$29K
Holders406+25381
Trades3.2K+5842.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−1.9 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI0.7%
+0.2 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.38
+6.60×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.24
+6.47×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.5K
−$19.2K
$27.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.0%
−120.4 pp
33.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.3%
−7.5 pp
43.8%
Bot %49.3%
−11.3 pp
60.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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