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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 16:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$17K$30K
Holders448+41407
Trades5.5K+1.4K4.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate24.9%
−30.5 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI-1.5%
−0.4 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.95
+24.21×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.59
+20.85×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.4K
−$12.1K
$24.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−131.7 pp
36.2%
Underwater %94.5%
+94.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.9%
−11.6 pp
80.5%
Bot %66.8%
−11.0 pp
77.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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