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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?

data as of 2026-03-21 20:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$853−$3.8K$4.7K
Holders169+11158
Trades906+49857
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−32.1 pp
72.2%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−0.5 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×110.00
+109.11×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×112.07
+111.16×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$73
$75
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.14
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.4%
−114.8 pp
15.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.0%
+10.8 pp
27.3%
Bot %37.4%
+10.3 pp
27.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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