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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?

data as of 2026-07-08 08:12 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 10, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
18¢
NO
63¢
YES
18¢
YesY-NNo
Position$324−$372$696
Holders26+224
Trades48−654
NO
63¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.6%
−1.6 pp
45.2%
Avg ROI2.7%
−2.4 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.87
+0.78×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.83
+0.75×
×1.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$285
+$290
−$574
Recent buyer dominance0.35
+0.26
0.09
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-45.1%
−38.1 pp
-7.0%
Underwater %96.3%
+1.4 pp
94.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−4.8 pp
4.8%
Bot %1.2%
−10.0 pp
11.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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