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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

data as of 2026-04-06 09:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$26K−$56K$81K
Holders444+144300
Trades6.9K+3.0K3.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.6%
−32.9 pp
74.5%
Avg ROI9.2%
+0.6 pp
8.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×98.02
+97.09×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×154.40
+153.53×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$223
+$5.5K
−$5.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.75
+0.30
0.45
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.5%
−121.3 pp
21.8%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.7%
−5.2 pp
19.9%
Bot %14.6%
−5.3 pp
19.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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