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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?

data as of 2026-05-19 16:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$4.2K$8.1K
Holders42+1032
Trades569−91660
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
−1.2 pp
52.8%
Avg ROI2.4%
−1.7 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−0.24×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
+0.07×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$59
−$589
$531
Recent buyer dominance0.03
−0.85
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-6.1%
−13.2 pp
7.2%
Underwater %35.6%
−4.4 pp
39.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.6%
+9.7 pp
1.8%
Bot %10.6%
+10.1 pp
0.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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