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Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat?

data as of 2026-02-05 06:18 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
93¢
NO
7¢
YES
93¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.7K+$1.6K$108
Holders6−1117
Trades23−3356
NO
7¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−28.5 pp
76.8%
Avg ROI18.0%
−96.8 pp
114.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.04×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$74
+$69
$6
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+3.4 pp
-3.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−24.9 pp
24.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−88.5 pp
88.5%
Bot %0.0%
−88.5 pp
88.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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