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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$8.8K$22K
Holders444+148296
Trades4.4K+294.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−6.1 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI17.6%
+16.8 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.00
+39.42×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.33
+39.75×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.5K
−$5.2K
$15.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−167.0 pp
69.7%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.2%
−14.8 pp
71.9%
Bot %57.0%
−14.7 pp
71.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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