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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 30?

data as of 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$80−$4.1K$4.2K
Holders41−67108
Trades539+103436
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−40.4 pp
88.5%
Avg ROI1.0%
+0.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.77
+1.79×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.11
+2.13×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$87
$87
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.6%
−69.8 pp
2.1%
Underwater %93.9%
+93.3 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.4%
+31.3 pp
10.1%
Bot %52.2%
+42.0 pp
10.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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