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Spread: Capitals (-2.5)

data as of 2026-04-09 02:06 UTC● RESOLVEDCapitals won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
CAPITALS✓ WON
100¢
MAPLE LEAFS
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
CAPITALS
100¢
CapitalsC-MMaple Leafs
Position$29+$29$0
Holders3−14
Trades4−15
MAPLE LEAFS
0¢
CapitalsΔ C−MMaple Leafs
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
+34.6 pp
14.4%
Avg ROI-9.7%
−44.0 pp
34.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.92
−1.08×
×2.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−1.41×
×2.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
+$4
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.1%
+65.2 pp
-57.2%
Underwater %13.9%
−37.8 pp
51.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.9%
−13.4 pp
27.2%
Bot %13.9%
−37.8 pp
51.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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