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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 14:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$3.8K$6.8K
Holders139+12127
Trades978+219759
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−1.9 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−2.8 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.93
+14.17×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.69
+13.92×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$227
−$1.2K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.01
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−126.2 pp
32.9%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.9%
+5.1 pp
46.8%
Bot %59.6%
−0.1 pp
59.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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