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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?

data as of 2026-04-30 00:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$97K$98K
Holders57−46103
Trades961+258703
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.7%
−39.1 pp
71.8%
Avg ROI-0.0%
−1.9 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.85
+6.85×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.05
+13.07×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$8
−$13.1K
$13.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−94.4 pp
2.3%
Underwater %94.6%
+62.1 pp
32.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.7%
−0.1 pp
28.8%
Bot %28.7%
+8.5 pp
20.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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