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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-03 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$107K+$90K$17K
Holders350−98448
Trades7.0K−2357.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.6%
+22.5 pp
41.1%
Avg ROI1.8%
−8.0 pp
9.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−20.85×
×21.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−19.67×
×20.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.9K
+$22.6K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.12
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.8%
+123.8 pp
-95.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.0%
+6.8 pp
67.1%
Bot %73.6%
+9.1 pp
64.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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