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Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 2?

data as of 2026-03-02 20:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.5K+$109$5.4K
Holders36+333
Trades114−20134
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.8%
+9.8 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI2.8%
−2.4 pp
5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−2.44×
×3.20
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−2.71×
×3.42
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$958
−$415
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.13
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL38.4%
+109.4 pp
-71.0%
Underwater %4.6%
−94.3 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.7%
+26.3 pp
51.4%
Bot %76.7%
+25.3 pp
51.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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