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Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 4PM ET

data as of 2025-09-30 19:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K+$1.4K$2.4K
Holders24−933
Trades339−173512
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−0.7 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI-1.3%
−1.1 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.56
−2.34×
×2.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−2.41×
×3.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$125
+$36
$89
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.17
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL67.5%
+134.5 pp
-67.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.1%
−11.7 pp
78.9%
Bot %71.2%
−17.7 pp
88.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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