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Will Marco Penge win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?

data as of 2026-02-22 04:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$4.2K$5.6K
Holders25−1742
Trades155+3152
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−29.4 pp
78.6%
Avg ROI8.9%
+9.0 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.90
+14.04×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.03
+12.14×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$98
$99
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.23
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−104.4 pp
12.1%
Underwater %98.7%
+96.5 pp
2.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.5%
−37.5 pp
38.0%
Bot %0.5%
−37.5 pp
38.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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