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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$18K$1.4K
Holders97−30127
Trades670−275945
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.4%
+22.7 pp
43.7%
Avg ROI0.9%
−16.7 pp
17.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−15.71×
×16.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−28.60×
×29.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.4K
+$5.4K
$24
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.16
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.4%
+109.6 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %11.7%
−88.3 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.5%
+1.3 pp
69.2%
Bot %72.8%
+5.3 pp
67.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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