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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 3?

data as of 2026-05-03 19:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$591−$4.9K$5.5K
Holders97−16113
Trades868+303565
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−37.3 pp
71.4%
Avg ROI32.2%
+33.2 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.34
+13.40×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.71
+14.79×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$430
$435
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.35
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−104.6 pp
10.0%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.5%
−8.5 pp
27.0%
Bot %23.9%
−0.6 pp
24.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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