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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 6?

data as of 2026-07-05 02:53 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
35¢
NO
62¢
YES
35¢
YesY-NNo
Position$300−$415$715
Holders3−1518
Trades11−1627
NO
62¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.5%
+39.2 pp
32.4%
Avg ROI17.2%
+17.6 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−0.31×
×1.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−0.30×
×1.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$281
−$394
$675
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.8%
+31.9 pp
-12.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−3.6 pp
3.6%
Bot %1.8%
−2.8 pp
4.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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