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Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?

data as of 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$116K+$108K$7.1K
Holders67−1986
Trades959−4351.4K
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate81.2%
+30.9 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI1.4%
−1.7 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−25.71×
×26.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−44.03×
×44.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$540
+$536
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.64
−0.19
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL9.0%
+106.7 pp
-97.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.9%
−0.3 pp
10.2%
Bot %9.9%
+0.1 pp
9.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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