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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-26 04:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.9K−$21K$29K
Holders308+42266
Trades3.5K−923.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.7%
−18.5 pp
64.2%
Avg ROI1.7%
+1.9 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×249.34
+248.64×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×195.61
+194.91×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$743
−$8.2K
$8.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.09
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.5%
−137.0 pp
37.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.4%
+12.7 pp
54.7%
Bot %69.8%
+14.8 pp
55.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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