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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 23:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$21K$7.6K
Holders275−128403
Trades2.6K−6933.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.7%
+26.9 pp
34.8%
Avg ROI-1.3%
−2.5 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−8.78×
×9.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−10.03×
×10.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.5K
+$6.5K
$7.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.3%
+124.7 pp
-90.4%
Underwater %1.4%
−94.2 pp
95.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.2%
+30.2 pp
48.0%
Bot %75.8%
+28.3 pp
47.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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