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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 12:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$10K$2.2K
Holders138+17121
Trades1.3K+451.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.8%
+13.9 pp
43.9%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−7.5 pp
7.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−13.91×
×14.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−16.55×
×17.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.1K
+$5.8K
$259
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.00
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.5%
+115.7 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.1 pp
98.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.2%
−8.1 pp
62.2%
Bot %65.3%
−13.5 pp
78.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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