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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 22?

data as of 2026-06-20 21:24 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
13¢
NO
87¢
YES
13¢
YesY-NNo
Position$124−$1.7K$1.8K
Holders42+834
Trades150+49101
NO
87¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.3%
−36.7 pp
83.0%
Avg ROI8.2%
−3.5 pp
11.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.32
−0.78×
×1.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.44
−0.64×
×1.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$30
$35
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.13
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL125.6%
+133.0 pp
-7.4%
Underwater %0.6%
−89.1 pp
89.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.0%
+15.4 pp
0.6%
Bot %16.0%
+13.4 pp
2.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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