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Will Dustin Darden win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

data as of 2026-07-11 12:12 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$19$20
Holders101
Trades7+61
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.6%
+58.6 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-2.4%
−2.4 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.18
+8.18×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.45
+4.45×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$20
$20
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.2%
−80.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %54.4%
+54.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.4%
−45.6 pp
100.0%
Bot %54.4%
−45.6 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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