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Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 20:26 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.5K+$640$833
Holders43+1132
Trades314+93221
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−3.4 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI26.8%
+25.3 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−1.28×
×1.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−1.18×
×1.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$849
+$560
$289
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.6%
+99.1 pp
-45.4%
Underwater %1.1%
−94.7 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.9%
−28.0 pp
53.9%
Bot %28.5%
−42.3 pp
70.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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