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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 15?

data as of 2025-09-14 19:35 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$19K$21K
Holders17−825
Trades197+24173
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
+2.5 pp
46.0%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+5.2 pp
-5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.73
+1.79×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.23
+1.28×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$287
$303
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.4%
−59.2 pp
5.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %98.2%
+53.5 pp
44.6%
Bot %98.2%
+53.5 pp
44.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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