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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 00:36 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$52K+$50K$2.9K
Holders262−45307
Trades2.1K−4802.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate75.5%
+18.1 pp
57.4%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.5 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
+0.70×
×0.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
+0.65×
×0.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$47.7K
+$46.1K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL5.3%
−36.6 pp
41.9%
Underwater %0.2%
−14.0 pp
14.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.2%
+8.7 pp
38.5%
Bot %48.2%
+9.3 pp
38.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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