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Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open?

data as of 2025-01-12 08:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$517−$6.9K$7.5K
Holders30+1020
Trades331+173158
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
−11.8 pp
64.5%
Avg ROI6.0%
+7.0 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.08
+0.08×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
+0.01×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$362
$388
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.8%
+4.8 pp
-0.1%
Underwater %55.1%
+2.6 pp
52.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.7%
−50.4 pp
51.1%
Bot %0.7%
−50.4 pp
51.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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