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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?

data as of 2026-06-18 15:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$821−$1.6K$2.4K
Holders115+15100
Trades471+63408
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−29.1 pp
76.2%
Avg ROI13.6%
+12.4 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.30
+7.55×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.47
+6.66×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$6
+$55
−$61
Recent buyer dominance0.34
−0.02
0.36
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.2%
−115.1 pp
27.9%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.1%
+3.3 pp
22.8%
Bot %25.6%
−4.8 pp
30.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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