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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 05:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.8K−$252K$257K
Holders333−196529
Trades3.5K+4303.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.1%
−28.4 pp
70.5%
Avg ROI10.4%
+8.5 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.68
+2.71×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$45.3K
$49.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.9%
−89.9 pp
7.1%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.9%
+9.5 pp
70.4%
Bot %35.5%
−24.9 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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