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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

data as of 2026-07-21 04:58 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
66¢
NO
37¢
YES
66¢
YesY-NNo
Position$691+$679$11
Holders6+33
Trades20+155
NO
37¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
+11.4 pp
39.1%
Avg ROI1.1%
−33.7 pp
34.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.78×
×0.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.39×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
+$26
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−64.4 pp
64.4%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−50.0 pp
50.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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