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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

data as of 2026-02-19 06:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$13K$26K
Holders539+257282
Trades4.3K+1524.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.5%
−16.5 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI3.6%
+3.9 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.22
+19.62×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.05
+17.45×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
−$9.9K
$20.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.01
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.0%
−155.4 pp
61.4%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.0%
−5.4 pp
76.4%
Bot %70.6%
−5.5 pp
76.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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