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Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on May 20?

data as of 2026-05-20 04:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$71−$1.2K$1.2K
Holders37+1324
Trades115+4372
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.1%
−41.7 pp
78.8%
Avg ROI4.7%
+4.4 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.06×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.14
+2.28×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$75
$83
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.2%
−84.0 pp
15.8%
Underwater %96.4%
+96.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.0%
+6.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %6.0%
+6.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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