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Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?

data as of 2026-03-04 20:42 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K+$32$1.2K
Holders34+133
Trades175−5180
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
−1.5 pp
58.4%
Avg ROI10.1%
+2.0 pp
8.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−42.73×
×43.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.48
−37.51×
×38.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$257
−$310
$54
Recent buyer dominance0.10
−0.90
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL108.5%
+205.9 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.8 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.3%
+3.6 pp
9.7%
Bot %13.4%
−1.0 pp
14.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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