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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

data as of 2026-01-06 12:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$65K−$27K$92K
Holders370−82452
Trades13K+45612K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−4.0 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI3.6%
+1.6 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.78
+22.22×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.33
+22.79×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.7K
−$16.8K
$34.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.02
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−179.7 pp
84.1%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.7%
+2.0 pp
78.7%
Bot %80.6%
+2.7 pp
77.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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