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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-13 00:01 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.7K−$2.6K$4.3K
Holders23+716
Trades163+23140
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−9.5 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI1.4%
−5.7 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.39×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.78
+45.21×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$367
+$60
$306
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−174.6 pp
76.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.8%
+2.2 pp
24.6%
Bot %26.8%
+2.2 pp
24.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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