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Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

data as of 2025-01-17 16:21 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.22M+$1.18M$42K
Holders129−33162
Trades5.1K+1.4K3.7K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.9%
+10.0 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI5.9%
+0.8 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−6.45×
×7.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−7.71×
×8.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$62.8K
+$62.7K
$102
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.02
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.3%
+138.4 pp
-89.0%
Underwater %3.8%
−92.9 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.0%
−3.1 pp
17.1%
Bot %13.9%
−3.1 pp
17.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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