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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

data as of 2026-04-11 20:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$39K$44K
Holders344−20364
Trades2.5K−6403.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.6%
−46.9 pp
81.5%
Avg ROI5.5%
+3.8 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×191.21
+190.24×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×132.01
+131.07×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
−$31.0K
$35.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.5%
−111.6 pp
12.2%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.5 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
+16.7 pp
42.7%
Bot %58.0%
+14.7 pp
43.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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