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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-08 20:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$25K$11K
Holders373+3370
Trades3.8K−1614.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
+14.7 pp
42.2%
Avg ROI0.8%
+1.1 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−7.73×
×8.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−8.11×
×8.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.6K
+$16.5K
$10.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.0%
+121.3 pp
-88.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.3 pp
97.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.1%
+15.1 pp
68.0%
Bot %80.4%
+12.4 pp
68.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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