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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 20?

data as of 2026-04-20 12:25 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Apr 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
99¢
NO
0¢
YES
99¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.4K+$6.7K$685
Holders218+110108
Trades970+281689
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate75.1%
+21.7 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI3.3%
+4.6 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−47.75×
×48.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.94
−42.86×
×43.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$423
+$419
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.20
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.1%
+106.1 pp
-98.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.7%
−1.2 pp
13.9%
Bot %10.5%
−5.9 pp
16.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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