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Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Aguilar (+2.5)

data as of 2026-06-30 13:55 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Medvedev🗓️ settles Jul 8, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
MEDVEDEV
72¢
AGUILAR
28¢
MEDVEDEV
72¢
MedvedevM-AAguilar
Position$180+$98$82
Holders1−12
Trades1−12
AGUILAR
28¢
MedvedevΔ M−AAguilar
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.7%
+20.4 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−2.3 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$180
+$98
$82
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.5 pp
-0.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−13.8 pp
13.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−86.2 pp
86.2%
Bot %0.0%
−86.2 pp
86.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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