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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 17:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K+$4.1K$6.2K
Holders126−21147
Trades982−2311.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
+2.0 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.6 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−14.31×
×15.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−15.01×
×15.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
+$5.5K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.05
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.6%
+124.9 pp
-93.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.4 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.9%
−2.2 pp
45.1%
Bot %52.8%
+2.9 pp
49.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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