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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-01-20 12:56 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$6.9K$3.7K
Holders32−234
Trades254−45299
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.9%
+15.9 pp
18.9%
Avg ROI-51.1%
−65.9 pp
14.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−35.47×
×36.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−32.02×
×32.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$848
−$859
$11
Recent buyer dominance0.08
−0.92
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.9%
+148.8 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.8%
−27.5 pp
62.3%
Bot %32.3%
−31.5 pp
63.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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