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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

data as of 2026-07-28 08:25 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.7K−$7.8K$13K
Holders316−36352
Trades1.8K+2021.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
+2.9 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI1.8%
−1.6 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.19
−68.61×
×68.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.22
−54.50×
×54.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.3K
−$8.5K
$11.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.13
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL293.5%
+391.9 pp
-98.4%
Underwater %1.3%
−90.9 pp
92.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.2%
−10.4 pp
28.6%
Bot %47.2%
−7.7 pp
54.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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