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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 13?

data as of 2026-02-13 18:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$135−$35K$35K
Holders73−236309
Trades837+47790
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−53.9 pp
90.9%
Avg ROI22.4%
+21.3 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.86
+0.87×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$91
$91
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-48.5%
−48.8 pp
0.3%
Underwater %48.7%
+34.4 pp
14.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.0%
+17.0 pp
12.1%
Bot %29.0%
+16.9 pp
12.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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